
Bitcoin fell sharply in January, dropping below $80,000. The broader crypto market lost over 30% of its value during the same period.
Ask analysts, traders, or financial media why crypto crashed, and you'll hear the same explanations:
Federal Reserve hawkishness: Chair Powell held rates steady with no cuts signaled for 2026
Geopolitical tensions: Middle East tensions, Trump's tariff threats on NATO, the U.S.-Europe Greenland dispute
Institutional exit: Spot Bitcoin ETFs bled over $800 million in one week—BlackRock, Grayscale, and Fidelity led withdrawals
Cascading liquidations: $1.7 billion in leveraged positions unwound as prices fell
Tech sector contagion: The Nasdaq's decline dragged high-beta crypto assets down
Fear index spike: Crypto Fear & Greed hit 32 ("extreme fear"), levels not seen since FTX collapsed
The market consensus is that the recent crypto drawdown is due to macroeconomic headwinds, thin liquidity, and overleveraged speculation being flushed out.
Those factors explain how the selloff unfolded — not why it began.
But this assessment misses the real battleground unfolding in the Senate Banking Committee.
Legislative Tailwinds May Have Turned Headwind; Institutions Exit Early
Institutions poured $50+ billion into spot Bitcoin ETFs throughout 2024, front-running what seemed like regulatory inevitability.
For years, crypto operated in legal limbo. Is Bitcoin a commodity or a security? Which agency has jurisdiction? Can states hold it as a reserve asset? The uncertainty kept institutional capital on the sidelines.
Then the Trump administration signaled a crypto-friendly policy. ETF approvals came fast. The CLARITY Act promised to cleanly split CFTC and SEC oversight, granting Bitcoin commodity status and ending the turf war between the agencies. State legislatures introduced bills allowing Bitcoin reserves: Florida's HB 1039 and South Dakota's HB 1155 would permit state treasuries to hold BTC as an inflation hedge, thereby legitimizing it as a government asset class alongside bonds and gold.
For the first time in crypto's history, the regulatory path looked clear.
Until January 14, 2026, when the Senate Banking Committee markup of the CLARITY Act stalled.
Democrats blocked progress over ethics clauses—specifically Section 207, which exempted Trump family crypto investments and business interests from standard conflict-of-interest disclosure requirements. The Trump Organization launched World Liberty Financial in 2024, a decentralized finance (DeFi) lending platform. His sons held significant crypto positions. The exemption wasn't subtle.
The stall created an opening. While Democrats held up the bill over Trump-related conflicts, the American Bankers Association used the delay to push for amendments that would expand restrictions on stablecoin yields. The ethics fight gave banks time to reshape the legislation.
This is how regulatory capture works in practice: ethical objections stall a bill, and incumbents use the delay to rewrite the economics in their favor.
The Real Fight: Stablecoins as Full-Reserve Competition
Market pundits are discussing the effect but missing the cause. Banks are escalating their war on stablecoin yields.
The GENIUS Act, passed in July 2025, already mandated that stablecoin issuers such as Circle (USDC) and Tether (USDT) maintain 1:1 reserves in cash or short-term U.S. Treasury securities. Every dollar of stablecoin had to be backed by an actual dollar in liquid assets.
This was spun as risk management after TerraUSD's algorithmic collapse in 2022. However, the asymmetry is hard to ignore: stablecoins must maintain 100% reserves, whereas banks are required to hold only 10%.
In addition to the full reserves, the law prohibits paying interest directly to holders of stablecoins. Stablecoins were classified as "payment instruments" rather than as interest-bearing deposit accounts.
This created a constraint. If you held $100 in USDC, you couldn't earn interest on it directly from Circle, even though Circle was earning 4-5% by holding your backing dollar in Treasury bills.
DeFi found the workaround.
Exchanges such as Coinbase and DeFi protocols such as Aave offered "stablecoin yields" by pooling user deposits and lending them out or deploying them into Treasury-backed strategies. Users deposited USDC, earned 4-5% APY, and could withdraw at any time. Technically, the issuer wasn't paying interest. Third parties were.
By January 2026, more than $40 billion in stablecoins was held in yield-generating protocols.
That's when the American Bankers Association escalated. They pushed to expand Section 404 of the GENIUS Act to ban not only direct yields from issuers but also indirect yields offered by exchanges, DeFi protocols, and affiliated entities.
The argument: third-party yields on stablecoins siphon deposits from traditional banks, undermining their lending capacity.
The reality: stablecoins earning 5% APY—sourced from the same Treasury securities backing them—were causing deposit flight from banks that pay savers 0.01% while lending those same deposits at 7%.
That spread is the banking business model.
And crypto is breaching it.
Why Stablecoins Threaten The Banking Deposit Model
Fractional reserve banking works because banks lend out 90% of deposits while promising 100% on-demand withdrawals. The 10% reserve requirement creates a money multiplier effect: $100 in deposits becomes $900 in loans across the banking system.
This is how commercial banks create most of the money supply.
But it requires deposits.
When stablecoins offer transparent, full-reserve backing with yield sourced from the same Treasuries banks use—but without the opacity and systemic risk of fractional reserves—they become competitive.
A user holding USDC in a DeFi protocol earning 5% APY isn't making an ideological statement about sound money. They're making a rational economic choice: higher yield, instant settlement, 24/7 access, transparent reserves.
The $6.6 trillion in U.S. bank deposits wasn't going to flee overnight. But the trajectory was clear. Stablecoins grew from $10 billion in 2020 to $190 billion by 2025. If that growth continues, if yields remain available, and if the transparency advantage holds, banks face structural erosion of deposits.
Banks are lobbying to prevent threats to their business model.
Institutions Don't Bet on Policy Whiplash
BlackRock and Fidelity led the exit.
When the CLARITY Act stalled on January 14, and banks expanded their push for stablecoin yield bans, these institutions exited. The $800 million in ETF outflows reflected institutional capital rotating into perceived safety amid regulatory uncertainty.
Their selling accelerated the decline. What might have been a 15% correction became a 30% crash as their exits triggered liquidations and amplified the existing macro pressures—Fed hawkishness, geopolitical tensions, thin liquidity, and overleveraged positions.
The timing matters. Institutions didn't exit because of macro fears. They exited because banks were successfully lobbying to eliminate stablecoin yield competition—and that selling made everything else worse.
Once regulation entered the picture, price action followed policy risk.
If you care about crypto's future in America, now is the time to speak up.
This isn't about ideology. It's about whether we allow:
Presidential families to exempt themselves from financial disclosure rules
Banks to use regulation to kill competition that benefits consumers
Don't let corruption and monopolies determine crypto's path forward.
What You Can Do
I wrote a sample letter to Congress that addresses both the Trump exemption and the stablecoin competition issue. Read and use the letter here
Send it through any of these platforms:
Stand With Crypto - Takes under 60 seconds. Over 900,000 people have already joined.
Public Citizen - Watchdog group calling out the "gryfto" bill corruption
Resistbot - Text RESIST to 50409 to send letters to your senators in under 2 minutes
Key points (if you write your own):
Remove Section 207 (Trump exemption)
Preserve competition—don't expand stablecoin yield bans beyond what the GENIUS Act already prohibits
Share this: The more people understand what's at stake, the harder it becomes to pass corrupt exemptions and anti-competitive restrictions.

